Trend analysis

EUR/USD will attempt to move down this week, starting from 0.9688 (closing of the last weekly candle) to 0.9627, which is the support line of the downward channel (thick red line). Then, it will bounce up to the 14.6% retracement level at 0.9733 (yellow dotted line) and to the 23.6% retracement level at 0.9844 (yellow dotted line). Quotes will dip again from this level.

Fig. 1 (weekly chart)

Comprehensive analysis:

Indicator analysis - uptrend

Fibonacci levels - uptrend

Volumes - uptrend

Candlestick analysis - uptrend

Trend analysis - uptrend

Bollinger bands - downtrend

Monthly chart - uptrend

All this points to an upward movement in EUR/USD.

Conclusion: The pair will have a bullish trend, with no first lower shadow on the weekly white candle (Monday - up) and no second upper shadow (Friday - up).

So during the week, euro will fall from 0.9688 (closing of the last weekly candle) to the support line of the downward channel at 0.9627 (red thick line), then move to the 14.6% retracement level at 0.9731 (yellow dotted line) and 23.6% retracement level at 0.9844 (yellow dotted line). Quotes will dip again from this level.

Alternatively, the pair could drop from 0.9688 (closing of the last weekly candle) to the 261.8% retracement level at 0.9641 (dashed blue line), then go to the 14.6% retracement level at 0.9731 (yellow dotted line).