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07.10.2022 11:36 PM
Non-farm payrolls again crash US and European stock indices

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Stocks opened lower and Treasury yields rose as the strong report reaffirmed bets that the central bank would continue to be aggressive with its tightening campaign. Odds of a 75-basis point hike increased to a certainty following the report.

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Aside from the anxiety that usually precedes these numbers, traders had to digest remarks from a raft of Federal Reserve speakers who sounded unequivocally committed to crushing inflation with rate hikes. The hawkish rhetoric helped push the S&P 500 to its second straight day of losses, while lifting the dollar and Treasury yields. Oil topped $88 a barrel.

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European stock indices are in a downtrend with the target of updating year lows:

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This is the last jobs report Fed officials will have before their November policy meeting as they consider a fourth-straight 75-basis point interest rate hike. Fresh inflation data coming out next week will also play a fundamental role in their decision making. The report is projected to show the depth and breadth of the Fed's inflation problem, with a key indicator of consumer prices potentially worsening. The Moscow Exchange Index failed to hold above 2,000 and continued its decline:

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Key events this week:

  • US unemployment, wholesale inventories, non-farm payrolls, Friday
  • Bank of England Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden speaks at event, Friday
  • Fed's John Williams speaks at event, Friday
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